M2 - Next 10 Delivery Plan

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  • Keeping the Promise

    The OCTA Board approved the Next 10 Delivery Plan (Next 10 Plan) on November 14, 2016. This comprehensive plan was developed to ensure that the promises made in the OC Go Investment Plan* (OC Go Plan) can continue to be delivered despite changing economic and forecasted sales tax revenue reduction impacts.

    On September 10, 2018, the OCTA Board approved the 2018 Next 10 Plan. The 2018 OC Go sales tax forecast decreased by $400 million (through 2041) to $13.1 billion. The 2018 Next 10 Plan incorporates current revenue projections, updated external revenue and bonding assumptions, updated project costs and schedules, and includes adjustments needed to ensure continued delivery of the complete OC Go Plan.

    *In 2006 Orange County voters approved a 30-year extension (2011-2041) of OC Go, a ½ cent sales tax for transportation improvements. Please see OC Go Overview for more information.

    Recent Economic Impacts

    When the OC Go Plan was initially developed, forecasts projected OC Go sales tax revenue available for projects and programs at $24.3 billion. Since the Great Recession in 2008 and changes in consumer spending habits, the sales tax revenue forecast has dropped by $11.2 billion and is now projected at $13.1 billion.

    While this reduction in sales tax revenue affects the OC Go Plan as a whole, most OC Go programs are scaled to available revenues. However, this is not possible for the freeway program because there are specific scopes of work and projects that are designated to be completed.

    Without a funding fix, freeway projects within OC Go could not be delivered as promised to the voters. The OCTA Board of Directors adopted Next 10 Plan ensures the entire 30 year plan can be delivered and addresses this funding gap by:

    • Making OC Go projects a priority for state and federal grants whenever possible (incorporates $1.5 billion in secured state and federal funding)
    • Utilizing net excess 91 Express Lanes revenues to pay for two OC Go State Route 91 projects (not to exceed the full cost of the two eligible projects)
    • Monitoring and tracking key indicators related to uncertainties in the construction market to provide early warning on changes to risk factors
    • Including a program level line item in the cash flow for economic uncertainties to safeguard the freeway program and ensure that OCTA does not over commit delivery during this time of market cost uncertainty
    • Collaborating with our transportation partners, seek cost effective measures on delivery of the Next 10 Plan of projects and programs

    With the Next 10 Plan, the Freeway Program will be 78 percent complete by 2026. The 2018 Next 10 Plan ensures delivery of all project and programs within OC Go through 2041 and provides mobility solutions sooner to Orange County residents.

    OC Go Timeline

    Since the approval of OC Go, the OCTA Board has continued to advance implementation through the adoption of a series of early delivery plans. These delivery plans are designed to ensure the delivery of projects and programs through 2041 as promised to the voters, bring transportation improvements earlier to residents and commuters of Orange County, and, as appropriate, address slower growth in sales tax revenue projections. To date, there have been three delivery plans. These include a five-year Early Action Plan (EAP) adopted in 2007 (completed in 2012), an M2020 Plan adopted in 2012 (intended to go through 2020), and the Next 10 Delivery Plan (Next 10 Plan). The M2020 Plan was cut short due to a decrease in sales tax revenue and replaced with the adoption of a Next 10 Plan.

    During the Next 10 time period, more than $6 billion in transportation improvements promised to the voters in OC Go are planned to be completed or under way by 2026.

    Next 10 Key Milestones

    To help improve mobility in Orange County over the next 10 years, the milestones are categorized by mode below. The progress of the Next 10 Plan will be reported every quarter as part of the OC Go M2 Quarterly Report.

    Freeways

    • Deliver $3.5 billion of freeway improvements approved through construction
    • Invest an additional $715 million in freeway improvements, bringing the total value of completed freeway program improvements to $4.3 billion by 2026 a priority project)

    Streets and Roads

    • Allocate $1 billion to improve local streets and roads
      • $400 million for local jurisdictions to expand street capacity and synchronize signals
      • $600 million to help local jurisdictions maintain aging streets or use on other transportation needs as appropriate
       
    • Complete the remaining three grade separation projects

    Transit

    • Extend intercounty Metrolink service, contingent on cooperation and funding participation from route partners, and complete improvements to six stations
    • Design, construct and begin operating OC Streetcar and complete additional planning studies to guide development of future transit connections
    • Provide up to $115 million to expand mobility choices for seniors and persons with disabilities
    • Provide grant opportunities and support local efforts to implement community circulator projects
    • Allocate up to $7 million to improve the top 100 busiest bus stops in Orange County and modernize the bus system to enhance customer experience

    Environmental

    • Ensure the ongoing preservation of purchased open space to comprehensively mitigate the freeway program's environmental impacts allowing streamlined project approvals
    • Work with the Environmental Cleanup Allocation Committee to provide $40 million in grants to prevent the flow of trash, pollutants and debris into waterways from transportation facilities, and encourage partnerships among local agencies to improve water quality on a regional scale
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